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KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:00

KFUM Oslo

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kristiansund BK

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-17.7%0-23.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-014.4%1-111.9%1-24.9%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-19.2%2-23.8%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.8%3-14.8%3-22.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-12.6%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.9% 58.8% 1.70 -13.5%

Draw 25.0% 26.0% 3.85 -2.3%

Away win 24.2% 22.2% 4.50 +5.3%

Over 2.5 50.4% 58.8% 1.70 -14.3%

Over 3.5 28.9% 35.7% 2.80 -11.5%

BTTS 52.6% 59.9% 1.67 -12.2%

Home O1.5 45.4% 58.8% 1.70 -22.8%

Away O1.5 20.3% 31.3% 3.20 -21.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 13.4%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob52.6%

H 51% / xG 1.6-0.8 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.9%

#2 1–0 14.4%

#3 2–0 11.2%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFUM Oslo1.6

Kristiansund BK0.8

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KFUM OSLO · PPG 1.25

KRISTIANSUND BK · PPG 0.57

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.73 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

KFUM Oslo (H) 50.9%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -13.5%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -2.3%

Kristiansund BK (A) 24.2%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +5.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

KFUM Oslo face Kristiansund BK in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFUM Oslo a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Kristiansund BK 24%, so KFUM Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for KFUM Oslo and 0.8 for Kristiansund BK (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFUM Oslo are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 0.57 for Kristiansund BK.

KFUM Oslo vs Kristiansund BK Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - Eliteserien Predictions