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Brann vs Rosenborg Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:15

Brann

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rosenborg

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-14.7%0-22.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-09.0%1-19.7%1-25.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.2%2-19.9%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.3%3-16.8%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.2%4+-15.6%4+-23.0%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.9% 52.6% 1.90 +2.4%

Draw 22.4% 25.6% 3.90 -7.6%

Away win 23.7% 28.2% 3.55 -9.5%

Over 2.5 62.8% 66.7% 1.50 -5.8%

Over 3.5 39.6% 44.4% 2.25 -10.9%

BTTS 60.0% 69.0% 1.45 -13.0%

Home O1.5 58.6% 61.7% 1.62 -5.1%

Away O1.5 36.5% 43.5% 2.30 -16.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 62 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 58%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 13.4%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob60.0%

H 54% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.2%

#4 1–0 9.0%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brann2.1

Rosenborg1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.8% · O3.5 PROB 39.6%

Form & verdict PPG

BRANN · PPG 1.29

ROSENBORG · PPG 0.67

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.98 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brann (H) 53.9%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV +2.4%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -7.6%

Rosenborg (A) 23.7%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -9.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Brann face Rosenborg in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brann a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Rosenborg 24%, so Brann are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Brann and 1.1 for Rosenborg (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brann are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.67 for Rosenborg.

Brann vs Rosenborg Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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