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KuPS Akatemia vs Inter Turku II Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Group Stage ·Friday, August 7, 2026, 15:30

KuPS Akatemia

PPG 0.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Inter Turku II

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.0%0-21.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-01.5%1-13.2%1-23.5%1-32.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-02.3%2-15.1%2-25.6%2-34.1%2-4+3.8%3 3-02.5%3-15.4%3-26.0%3-34.4%3-4+4.0%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-19.7%4+-210.6%4+-37.8%4+-4+7.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.2% — — —

Draw 16.9% — — —

Away win 26.0% — — —

Over 2.5 80.9% — — —

Over 3.5 63.5% — — —

BTTS 70.6% — — —

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 59.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 71%

Score Hit 32%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob70.6%

H 57% / xG 3.2-2.2 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–2 6.0%

#2 2–2 5.6%

#3 3–1 5.4%

#4 2–1 5.1%

#5 4–2 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KuPS Akatemia3.2

Inter Turku II2.2

COMBINED 5.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.9% · O3.5 PROB 63.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KUPS AKATEMIA · PPG 0.88

INTER TURKU II · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.00 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

KuPS Akatemia (H) 57.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Inter Turku II (A) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KuPS Akatemia face Inter Turku II in Finland - Ykkonen on Friday, August 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KuPS Akatemia a 57% chance, the draw 17% and Inter Turku II 26%, so KuPS Akatemia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for KuPS Akatemia and 2.2 for Inter Turku II (5.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KuPS Akatemia are averaging 0.88 points per game versus 1.00 for Inter Turku II.

KuPS Akatemia vs Inter Turku II Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Match Preview & Prediction

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