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Inter Turku II vs VJS Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Group Stage ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 15:30

Inter Turku II

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

VJS

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 67.8% vs bookmaker-implied 76.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-14.3%0-25.1%0-34.1%0-4+4.4%1 1-02.9%1-16.9%1-28.3%1-36.7%1-4+7.2%2 2-02.3%2-15.6%2-26.8%2-35.5%2-4+5.8%3 3-01.3%3-13.0%3-23.7%3-33.0%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.8%4+-22.1%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.8% 23.8% 4.20 +7.5%

Draw 20.7% 23.8% 4.20 -7.8%

Away win 52.5% 63.7% 1.57 -17.6%

Over 2.5 67.0% 80.0% 1.25 -16.3%

Over 3.5 44.9% 63.7% 1.57 -29.5%

BTTS 63.5% 76.9% 1.30 -17.4%

Home O1.5 49.4% 50.0% 2.00 -1.2%

Away O1.5 67.8% 76.9% 1.30 -11.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob63.5%

A 52% / xG 1.6-2.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.3%

#2 1–1 6.9%

#3 2–2 6.8%

#4 1–3 6.7%

#5 2–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Turku II1.6

VJS2.4

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER TURKU II · PPG 1.00

VJS · PPG 1.25

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.80 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Inter Turku II (H) 26.8%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +7.5%

Draw 20.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -7.8%

VJS (A) 52.5%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -17.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Turku II face VJS in Finland - Ykkonen on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Turku II a 27% chance, the draw 21% and VJS 53%, so VJS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Inter Turku II and 2.4 for VJS (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Turku II are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.25 for VJS. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +26.0%.

Inter Turku II vs VJS Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Match Preview & Prediction

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