Today / Finland - Ykkonen / Tampere United vs KPV-j

Tampere United vs KPV-j Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Group Stage ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 15:30

Tampere United

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

KPV-j

PPG 0.62 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +2.77 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.62 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-11.1%0-20.3%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.3%1-13.8%1-21.2%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.6%2-16.5%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.9%3-17.3%3-22.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-023.7%4+-114.4%4+-24.4%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.0% 88.5% 1.13 -15.3%

Draw 16.6% 14.3% 7.00 +9.7%

Away win 8.4% 8.7% 11.50 -2.0%

Over 2.5 67.2% 83.3% 1.20 -19.4%

Over 3.5 44.5% 64.9% 1.54 -31.5%

BTTS 49.8% 60.6% 1.65 -17.8%

Home O1.5 78.3% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 70%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.4 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.8%

H 75% / xG 3.4-0.6 / O2.5 67% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.9%

#2 2–0 10.6%

#3 4–0 10.1%

#4 3–1 7.3%

#5 5–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tampere United3.4

KPV-j0.6

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TAMPERE UNITED · PPG 1.75

KPV-J · PPG 0.62

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.77 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.62 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Tampere United (H) 75.0%

ODDS 1.13 · IMPLIED 88.5% EV -15.3%

Draw 16.6%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +9.7%

KPV-j (A) 8.4%

ODDS 11.50 · IMPLIED 8.7% EV -2.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tampere United face KPV-j in Finland - Ykkonen on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tampere United a 75% chance, the draw 17% and KPV-j 8%, so Tampere United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.4 for Tampere United and 0.6 for KPV-j (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tampere United are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.62 for KPV-j. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +22.1%.

Tampere United vs KPV-j Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Ykkonen Predictions