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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 28 Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium· Sumqayit Sunday, April 19, 2026 14:00
Sumqayit logo Sumqayit PPG 1.08
1-0 HIT CS2
Qabala logo Qabala PPG 0.64
Home· +27.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.1%
Odds: 2.35 EV: +27.1%
Draw 23.8%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -28.6%
Away 22.1%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -35.9%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.3% Odds: 2.20 +12.9%
Over 3.5 29.2% Odds: 4.20 +22.6%
BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.85 -3.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Sumqayit
1.72
Qabala
1.01

Model Suggestion

Home +27.1% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.08) > Away POOR (0.64)

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