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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa
Regular Season - 28
Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium· Sumqayit
Sunday, April 19, 2026
14:00
Sumqayit
PPG 1.08
1-0
HIT CS2
Qabala
PPG 0.64
Home· +27.1%
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
54.1%
Odds: 2.35
EV: +27.1%
Draw
23.8%
Odds: 3.00
EV: -28.6%
Away
22.1%
Odds: 2.90
EV: -35.9%
Model lean:
Home
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
51.3%
Odds: 2.20
+12.9%
Over 3.5
29.2%
Odds: 4.20
+22.6%
BTTS
52.1%
Odds: 1.85
-3.6%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-1
✘
2nd
1-0
✔
3rd
2-1
✘
4th
2-0
✘
5th
0-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Sumqayit
1.72
Qabala
1.01
Model Suggestion
Home
+27.1%
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.08) > Away POOR (0.64)