Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 / Alta vs Fløya
Alta vs Fløya Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5
Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
H 50% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.8% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%
Form & verdict
ALTA · PPG 2.33
FLØYA · PPG 1.67
xG gap +0.46 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Alta face Fløya in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Alta a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Fløya 28%, so Alta are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Alta and 1.4 for Fløya (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Alta are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Fløya.