Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 / Fauske Sprint vs Skjetten

Fauske Sprint vs Skjetten Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

Fauske Sprint

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Skjetten

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.2%0-21.5%0-31.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-01.4%1-13.5%1-24.3%1-33.5%1-4+3.8%2 2-02.0%2-15.0%2-26.1%2-35.0%2-4+5.4%3 3-01.9%3-14.7%3-25.8%3-34.7%3-4+5.2%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-16.7%4+-28.2%4+-36.7%4+-4+7.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% — — —

Draw 20.5% — — —

Away win 32.6% — — —

Over 2.5 80.6% — — —

Over 3.5 60.3% — — —

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 72.7% — — —

Away O1.5 67.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 87%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 22%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob70.3%

H 47% / xG 2.8-2.4 / O2.5 81% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.1%

#2 3–2 5.8%

#3 2–1 5.0%

#4 2–3 5.0%

#5 3–1 4.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fauske Sprint2.8

Skjetten2.4

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.6% · O3.5 PROB 60.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FAUSKE SPRINT · PPG 1.83

SKJETTEN · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.39 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Fauske Sprint (H) 46.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Skjetten (A) 32.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fauske Sprint face Skjetten in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fauske Sprint a 47% chance, the draw 21% and Skjetten 33%, so Fauske Sprint are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Fauske Sprint and 2.4 for Skjetten (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 81% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fauske Sprint are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.67 for Skjetten.

Fauske Sprint vs Skjetten Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 3. Division - Girone 5 Predictions