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Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Jiangxi Liansheng Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 16 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 11:30

Hubei Chufeng Heli

PPG 1.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jiangxi Liansheng

PPG 1.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-18.3%0-23.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.6%1-112.3%1-25.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.1%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.0%3-14.5%3-22.0%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 23.7% — — —

Over 2.5 50.3% — — —

Over 3.5 28.8% — — —

BTTS 51.7% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 23.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -1.4%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.7%

H 49% / xG 1.5-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.3%

#2 1–0 13.6%

#3 0–0 9.2%

#4 2–0 10.1%

#5 2–1 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hubei Chufeng Heli1.5

Jiangxi Liansheng0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 28.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HUBEI CHUFENG HELI · PPG 1.78

JIANGXI LIANSHENG · PPG 1.12

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hubei Chufeng Heli (H) 49.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jiangxi Liansheng (A) 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hubei Chufeng Heli face Jiangxi Liansheng in China - League Two on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hubei Chufeng Heli a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Jiangxi Liansheng 24%, so Hubei Chufeng Heli are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Hubei Chufeng Heli and 0.9 for Jiangxi Liansheng (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hubei Chufeng Heli are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.12 for Jiangxi Liansheng.

Hubei Chufeng Heli vs Jiangxi Liansheng Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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