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Shandong Taishan II vs Dalian Kewei Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 11:00

Shandong Taishan II

PPG 1.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dalian Kewei

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-022.3%0-113.8%0-24.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-019.7%1-112.2%1-23.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.1%2 2-08.7%2-15.4%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.6%3-11.6%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 45.5% 2.20 +0.1%

Draw 30.9% 34.7% 2.88 -11.0%

Away win 23.6% 31.3% 3.20 -14.7%

Over 2.5 33.6% 38.2% 2.62 -12.0%

Over 3.5 17.1% 18.9% 5.30 -5.6%

BTTS 45.4% 46.9% 2.13 -3.3%

Home O1.5 32.6% 35.7% 2.80 -8.7%

Away O1.5 17.4% 27.3% 3.66 -21.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.4%

H 46% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 22.3%

#2 1–0 19.7%

#3 1–1 12.2%

#4 0–1 13.8%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shandong Taishan II0.9

Dalian Kewei0.6

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SHANDONG TAISHAN II · PPG 1.89

DALIAN KEWEI · PPG 1.22

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.26, combined xG 1.50 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Shandong Taishan II (H) 45.5%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV +0.1%

Draw 30.9%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -11.0%

Dalian Kewei (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -14.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Shandong Taishan II face Dalian Kewei in China - League Two on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shandong Taishan II a 46% chance, the draw 31% and Dalian Kewei 24%, so Shandong Taishan II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Shandong Taishan II and 0.6 for Dalian Kewei (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shandong Taishan II are averaging 1.89 points per game versus 1.22 for Dalian Kewei.

Shandong Taishan II vs Dalian Kewei Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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