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Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wuhan Three Towns II Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 19 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 11:00

Guangzhou Dandelion

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Wuhan Three Towns II

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-19.8%0-23.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.8%1-112.7%1-25.1%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.3%2-18.3%2-23.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.5%3-13.6%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% 47.6% 2.10 -3.4%

Draw 29.3% 34.5% 2.90 -9.0%

Away win 24.7% 29.4% 3.40 -9.6%

Over 2.5 44.0% 38.2% 2.62 +15.3%

Over 3.5 22.8% 19.6% 5.10 +9.8%

BTTS 48.7% 46.5% 2.15 +4.7%

Home O1.5 38.3% 37.9% 2.64 +1.1%

Away O1.5 20.3% 25.1% 3.98 -11.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.7%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 12.1%

#3 1–0 15.8%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Guangzhou Dandelion1.3

Wuhan Three Towns II0.8

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GUANGZHOU DANDELION · PPG 1.22

WUHAN THREE TOWNS II · PPG 0.67

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.50, combined xG 2.11 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Guangzhou Dandelion (H) 46.0%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -3.4%

Draw 29.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -9.0%

Wuhan Three Towns II (A) 24.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Guangzhou Dandelion face Wuhan Three Towns II in China - League Two on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Guangzhou Dandelion a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Wuhan Three Towns II 25%, so Guangzhou Dandelion are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Guangzhou Dandelion and 0.8 for Wuhan Three Towns II (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Guangzhou Dandelion are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.67 for Wuhan Three Towns II. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +15.3%.

Guangzhou Dandelion vs Wuhan Three Towns II Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League Two Predictions