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Qingdao Red Lions vs Rizhao Yuqi Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 10:30

Qingdao Red Lions

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Rizhao Yuqi

PPG 0.88 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.8%0-110.9%0-22.7%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-022.3%1-111.2%1-22.8%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.4%2-15.7%2-21.4%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.9%3-12.0%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% — — —

Draw 30.4% — — —

Away win 21.1% — — —

Over 2.5 33.6% — — —

Over 3.5 17.1% — — —

BTTS 44.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -19.8%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob44.5%

H 48% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.8%

#2 1–0 22.3%

#3 1–1 11.2%

#4 2–0 11.4%

#5 0–1 10.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Qingdao Red Lions1.0

Rizhao Yuqi0.5

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 33.6% · O3.5 PROB 17.1%

Form & verdict PPG

QINGDAO RED LIONS · PPG 1.22

RIZHAO YUQI · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Qingdao Red Lions (H) 48.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Rizhao Yuqi (A) 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Qingdao Red Lions face Rizhao Yuqi in China - League Two on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Qingdao Red Lions a 48% chance, the draw 30% and Rizhao Yuqi 21%, so Qingdao Red Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Qingdao Red Lions and 0.5 for Rizhao Yuqi (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Qingdao Red Lions are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 0.88 for Rizhao Yuqi.

Qingdao Red Lions vs Rizhao Yuqi Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

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