Today / China - League Two / Xi'an Ronghai vs BIT

Xi'an Ronghai vs BIT Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 08:00

Xi'an Ronghai logo
Xi'an Ronghai
PPG 2.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
BIT logo
BIT
PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +2.00 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-12.4%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.9%1-16.3%1-22.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.1%2-18.4%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.5%3-17.4%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.4%4+-19.2%4+-23.0%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 72.3%
Draw 18.3%
Away win 9.4%
Over 2.5 63.6%
Over 3.5 40.6%
BTTS 49.2%
Home O1.5 64.0%
Away O1.5 19.0%

League track record

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 44%
BTTS 46%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -19.8%
Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 56%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.2%

H 72% / xG 2.6-0.6 / O2.5 64% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.1%
#2 3–0 11.5%
#3 1–0 9.9%
#4 2–1 8.4%
#5 4–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Xi'an Ronghai2.6
BIT0.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.6%

Form & verdict PPG

XI'AN RONGHAI · PPG 2.00

BIT · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.00 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Xi'an Ronghai (H) 72.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 18.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
BIT (A) 9.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Xi'an Ronghai face BIT in China - League Two on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Xi'an Ronghai a 72% chance, the draw 18% and BIT 9%, so Xi'an Ronghai are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Xi'an Ronghai and 0.6 for BIT (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Xi'an Ronghai are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.75 for BIT.

PredictVantage

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