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Rizhao Yuqi vs BIT Prediction— China - League Two

Matchday 12 ·Wednesday, August 5, 2026, 11:30

Rizhao Yuqi

PPG 1.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

BIT

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.2%0-19.5%0-22.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.8%1-111.5%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-012.5%2-16.9%2-21.9%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.0%3-12.8%3-20.8%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.1%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.6% — — —

Draw 26.8% — — —

Away win 20.7% — — —

Over 2.5 44.0% — — —

Over 3.5 24.6% — — —

BTTS 45.5% — — —

Home O1.5 33.9% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 51%

ROI -1.4%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob45.5%

H 53% / xG 1.2-0.6 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.8%

#2 0–0 17.2%

#3 1–1 11.5%

#4 2–0 12.5%

#5 0–1 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rizhao Yuqi1.2

BIT0.6

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 24.6%

Form & verdict PPG

RIZHAO YUQI · PPG 1.11

BIT · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Rizhao Yuqi (H) 52.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

BIT (A) 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rizhao Yuqi face BIT in China - League Two on Wednesday, August 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rizhao Yuqi a 53% chance, the draw 27% and BIT 21%, so Rizhao Yuqi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Rizhao Yuqi and 0.6 for BIT (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rizhao Yuqi are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 0.67 for BIT.

Rizhao Yuqi vs BIT Prediction— China - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

More China - League Two Predictions