Today / China - League Two / Dalian Yingbo B vs Shanghai Port II

Dalian Yingbo B vs Shanghai Port II Prediction— China - League Two

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 11:00

Dalian Yingbo B logo
Dalian Yingbo B
PPG 1.44 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Shanghai Port II logo
Shanghai Port II
PPG 2.11 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.0%0-115.8%0-210.4%0-34.6%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.6%1-112.7%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-03.9%2-15.1%2-23.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.0%3-11.4%3-20.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.9%
Draw 28.8%
Away win 43.3%
Over 2.5 45.2%
Over 3.5 24.7%
BTTS 48.7%
Home O1.5 32.6%
Away O1.5 42.9%

League track record

Based on 39 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%
O2.5 44%
BTTS 46%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -19.8%
Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.7%

A 43% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%
#2 0–0 12.0%
#3 0–1 15.8%
#4 0–2 10.4%
#5 1–2 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dalian Yingbo B0.8
Shanghai Port II1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.2% · O3.5 PROB 24.7%

Form & verdict PPG

DALIAN YINGBO B · PPG 1.44

SHANGHAI PORT II · PPG 2.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.52 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Dalian Yingbo B (H) 27.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 28.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Shanghai Port II (A) 43.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dalian Yingbo B face Shanghai Port II in China - League Two on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dalian Yingbo B a 28% chance, the draw 29% and Shanghai Port II 43%, so Shanghai Port II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Dalian Yingbo B and 1.3 for Shanghai Port II (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dalian Yingbo B are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 2.11 for Shanghai Port II.

PredictVantage

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