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Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 3 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 17:30

Deportivo Riestra

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Barracas Central

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.3%0-116.8%0-24.8%0-30.9%0-4+0.1%1 1-019.1%1-111.0%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-06.2%2-13.6%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.4%3-10.8%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% 46.7% 2.14 -21.5%

Draw 37.1% 35.0% 2.86 +6.1%

Away win 26.1% 25.3% 3.95 +1.9%

Over 2.5 31.1% 31.3% 3.20 -0.5%

Over 3.5 13.1% 14.3% 7.00 -5.0%

BTTS 44.5% 40.0% 2.50 +11.3%

Home O1.5 32.6% 34.5% 2.90 -5.5%

Away O1.5 17.4% 20.0% 5.00 -7.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -4.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 30%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.5%

H 37% / xG 0.7-0.6 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.3%

#2 1–0 19.1%

#3 0–1 16.8%

#4 1–1 11.0%

#5 2–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Riestra0.7

Barracas Central0.6

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO RIESTRA · PPG 1.22

BARRACAS CENTRAL · PPG 1.44

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.08, combined xG 1.23 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Riestra (H) 36.7%

ODDS 2.14 · IMPLIED 46.7% EV -21.5%

Draw 37.1%

ODDS 2.86 · IMPLIED 35.0% EV +6.1%

Barracas Central (A) 26.1%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +1.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Riestra face Barracas Central in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Riestra a 37% chance, the draw 37% and Barracas Central 26%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Deportivo Riestra and 0.6 for Barracas Central (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Riestra are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.44 for Barracas Central. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +11.3%.

Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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