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Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Banfield Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 18:30

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

PPG 0.78 · HOME

UPCOMING

Banfield

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-117.6%0-29.1%0-33.1%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.6%1-113.0%1-26.7%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.6%2-14.8%2-22.5%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.1%3-11.2%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.9% 37.0% 2.70 -13.2%

Draw 31.4% 35.2% 2.84 -10.8%

Away win 39.7% 34.7% 2.88 +14.3%

Over 2.5 37.3% 33.3% 3.00 +11.9%

Over 3.5 18.5% 16.0% 6.25 +9.4%

BTTS 46.1% 44.4% 2.25 +3.7%

Home O1.5 32.6% 29.9% 3.35 +9.2%

Away O1.5 33.2% 28.2% 3.55 +17.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -4.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.1%

A 40% / xG 0.7-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.1%

#2 0–1 17.6%

#3 1–1 13.0%

#4 1–0 12.6%

#5 0–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.7

Banfield1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO · PPG 0.78

BANFIELD · PPG 0.44

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.29, combined xG 1.76 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (H) 28.9%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -13.2%

Draw 31.4%

ODDS 2.84 · IMPLIED 35.2% EV -10.8%

Banfield (A) 39.7%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV +14.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto face Banfield in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto a 29% chance, the draw 31% and Banfield 40%, so Banfield are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and 1.0 for Banfield (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto are averaging 0.78 points per game versus 0.44 for Banfield. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +17.9%.

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs Banfield Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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