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Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 2 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 00:15

Central Cordoba de Santiago

PPG 1.62 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atletico Tucuman

PPG 0.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-110.8%0-24.5%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.6%1-113.1%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.5%2-17.9%2-23.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.8%3-13.2%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.2% 31.7% 3.15 +42.4%

Draw 27.8% 32.8% 3.05 -9.1%

Away win 27.0% 42.6% 2.35 -21.9%

Over 2.5 45.7% 37.7% 2.65 +21.1%

Over 3.5 28.0% 19.0% 5.25 +28.2%

BTTS 49.2% 46.5% 2.15 +5.8%

Home O1.5 33.1% 28.2% 3.55 +17.5%

Away O1.5 20.3% 35.7% 2.80 -25.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -9.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.2%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.9%

#3 1–0 15.6%

#4 2–0 9.5%

#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Cordoba de Santiago1.2

Atletico Tucuman0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL CORDOBA DE SANTIAGO · PPG 1.62

ATLETICO TUCUMAN · PPG 0.38

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.38, combined xG 2.05 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Central Cordoba de Santiago (H) 45.2%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV +42.4%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -9.1%

Atletico Tucuman (A) 27.0%

ODDS 2.35 · IMPLIED 42.6% EV -21.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Cordoba de Santiago face Atletico Tucuman in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Cordoba de Santiago a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Atletico Tucuman 27%, so Central Cordoba de Santiago are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Central Cordoba de Santiago and 0.8 for Atletico Tucuman (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Cordoba de Santiago are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 0.38 for Atletico Tucuman. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +38.6%.

Central Cordoba de Santiago vs Atletico Tucuman Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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