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Racing Club vs Tigre Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 23:30

Racing Club

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tigre

PPG 0.78 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.3%0-111.8%0-24.2%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.8%1-112.9%1-24.6%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.7%2-17.0%2-22.5%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.5%3-12.6%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.5% 46.7% 2.14 -2.6%

Draw 30.9% 34.2% 2.92 -9.8%

Away win 23.6% 26.0% 3.85 -5.5%

Over 2.5 37.3% 38.2% 2.62 -2.3%

Over 3.5 17.7% 19.0% 5.25 -4.2%

BTTS 45.4% 46.5% 2.15 -2.4%

Home O1.5 32.6% 39.2% 2.55 -16.9%

Away O1.5 20.3% 25.0% 4.00 -11.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -4.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob45.4%

H 46% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.3%

#2 1–0 17.8%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–1 11.8%

#5 2–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Racing Club1.1

Tigre0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 17.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RACING CLUB · PPG 1.50

TIGRE · PPG 0.78

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 1.81 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Racing Club (H) 45.5%

ODDS 2.14 · IMPLIED 46.7% EV -2.6%

Draw 30.9%

ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV -9.8%

Tigre (A) 23.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -5.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Racing Club face Tigre in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Racing Club a 46% chance, the draw 31% and Tigre 24%, so Racing Club are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Racing Club and 0.7 for Tigre (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Racing Club are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.78 for Tigre. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +6.6%.

Racing Club vs Tigre Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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