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Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos JRS Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 3 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 21:00

Belgrano Cordoba

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Argentinos JRS

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.9%0-19.9%0-23.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.5%1-112.7%1-24.9%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.6%2-18.1%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.5%3-13.5%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.5%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 39.7% 2.52 +25.2%

Draw 26.9% 34.5% 2.90 -13.2%

Away win 23.5% 32.8% 3.05 -17.0%

Over 2.5 45.7% 35.1% 2.85 +30.3%

Over 3.5 28.2% 17.4% 5.75 +37.3%

BTTS 48.8% 45.5% 2.20 +7.4%

Home O1.5 37.3% 33.3% 3.00 +11.9%

Away O1.5 20.3% 27.0% 3.70 -14.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -4.9%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.8%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 12.9%

#2 1–0 16.5%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 2–0 10.6%

#5 2–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Belgrano Cordoba1.3

Argentinos JRS0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 28.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BELGRANO CORDOBA · PPG 2.00

ARGENTINOS JRS · PPG 1.38

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.51 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Belgrano Cordoba (H) 49.7%

ODDS 2.52 · IMPLIED 39.7% EV +25.2%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -13.2%

Argentinos JRS (A) 23.5%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -17.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Belgrano Cordoba face Argentinos JRS in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Belgrano Cordoba a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Argentinos JRS 24%, so Belgrano Cordoba are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Belgrano Cordoba and 0.8 for Argentinos JRS (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Belgrano Cordoba are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.38 for Argentinos JRS. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +37.3%.

Belgrano Cordoba vs Argentinos JRS Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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