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KFUM Oslo vs Molde Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Regular Season - 15 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 15:00

KFUM Oslo

PPG 1.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

Molde

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-110.1%0-25.5%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.0%1-113.0%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.7%2-18.4%2-24.6%2-31.7%2-4+0.6%3 3-03.3%3-13.6%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.5%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.0% 33.3% 3.00 +38.0%

Draw 26.6% 27.8% 3.60 -2.5%

Away win 27.4% 45.5% 2.20 -23.8%

Over 2.5 50.0% 59.9% 1.67 -16.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 37.0% 2.70 -13.5%

BTTS 52.3% 65.4% 1.53 -20.0%

Home O1.5 38.5% 42.6% 2.35 -9.5%

Away O1.5 36.4% 51.8% 1.93 -29.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 53 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -14.1%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.3%

H 46% / xG 1.3-1.1 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 1–0 12.0%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 0–1 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFUM Oslo1.3

Molde1.1

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

KFUM OSLO · PPG 1.43

MOLDE · PPG 0.83

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.20, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

KFUM Oslo (H) 46.0%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +38.0%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -2.5%

Molde (A) 27.4%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -23.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

KFUM Oslo face Molde in Norway - Eliteserien on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFUM Oslo a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Molde 27%, so KFUM Oslo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for KFUM Oslo and 1.1 for Molde (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFUM Oslo are averaging 1.43 points per game versus 0.83 for Molde. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.2%.

KFUM Oslo vs Molde Prediction— Norway - Eliteserien

Match Preview & Prediction

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