Vibonese vs AC Palermo Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Italy - Serie D - Girone I Group I - 32 Stadio Luigi Razza· Vibo Valentia Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00

Vibonese PPG 1.13

2-3 MISS

AC Palermo PPG 1.53

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Vibonese face AC Palermo in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vibonese a 32% chance, the draw 25% and AC Palermo 44%, so AC Palermo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Vibonese and 1.6 for AC Palermo (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vibonese are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.53 for AC Palermo. This match finished 2-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 31.5%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 24.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 43.7%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 32.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 57.3% Odds: — —

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 1-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Vibonese

1.29

AC Palermo

1.56

Model SuggestionBTTS  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.13) vs Away GOOD (1.53)