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Gyori ETO FC vs Nyiregyhaza Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 16:00

Gyori ETO FC

PPG 1.90 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nyiregyhaza

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 62.7% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+0.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.4%0-15.4%0-23.4%0-31.4%0-4+0.6%1 1-08.3%1-110.2%1-26.3%1-32.6%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.7%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.9%3-16.1%3-23.8%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-14.4%4+-22.7%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% 63.3% 1.58 -17.2%

Draw 22.9% 25.0% 4.00 -5.0%

Away win 24.8% 20.8% 4.80 +11.4%

Over 2.5 62.7% 62.5% 1.60 +0.3%

Over 3.5 39.5% 40.0% 2.50 -1.3%

BTTS 62.1% 62.5% 1.60 -0.6%

Home O1.5 53.6% 64.5% 1.55 -16.9%

Away O1.5 36.5% 31.3% 3.20 +16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.1%

H 52% / xG 1.9-1.2 / O2.5 63% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 7.8%

#4 1–0 8.3%

#5 1–2 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gyori ETO FC1.9

Nyiregyhaza1.2

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.7% · O3.5 PROB 39.5%

Form & verdict PPG

GYORI ETO FC · PPG 1.90

NYIREGYHAZA · PPG 1.30

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Gyori ETO FC (H) 52.4%

ODDS 1.58 · IMPLIED 63.3% EV -17.2%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -5.0%

Nyiregyhaza (A) 24.8%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +11.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gyori ETO FC face Nyiregyhaza in Hungary - NB I on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gyori ETO FC a 52% chance, the draw 23% and Nyiregyhaza 25%, so Gyori ETO FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Gyori ETO FC and 1.2 for Nyiregyhaza (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gyori ETO FC are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.30 for Nyiregyhaza. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +25.3%.

Gyori ETO FC vs Nyiregyhaza Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

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