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Karcag SE vs Soroksar Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:30

Karcag SE

PPG 1.48 · HOME

UPCOMING

Soroksar

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.5%0-112.6%0-26.3%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.5%1-113.5%1-26.8%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.2%2-17.3%2-23.6%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.6%3-12.6%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.2% 42.0% 2.38 -4.3%

Draw 30.1% 31.3% 3.20 -3.7%

Away win 29.8% 38.2% 2.62 -13.2%

Over 2.5 44.0% 47.6% 2.10 -7.6%

Over 3.5 22.8% 27.9% 3.58 -11.0%

BTTS 49.1% 56.2% 1.78 -12.6%

Home O1.5 32.6% 40.8% 2.45 -20.1%

Away O1.5 29.6% 37.9% 2.64 -13.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.1%

H 40% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.5%

#3 1–0 13.5%

#4 0–1 12.6%

#5 2–1 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Karcag SE1.1

Soroksar1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KARCAG SE · PPG 1.48

SOROKSAR · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.07, combined xG 2.08 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Karcag SE (H) 40.2%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -4.3%

Draw 30.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.7%

Soroksar (A) 29.8%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV -13.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Karcag SE face Soroksar in Hungary - NB II on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Karcag SE a 40% chance, the draw 30% and Soroksar 30%, so Karcag SE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Karcag SE and 1.0 for Soroksar (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Karcag SE are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 0.91 for Soroksar.

Karcag SE vs Soroksar Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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