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Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 13:45

Ujpest

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Debreceni VSC

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.5% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.0%0-18.2%0-25.7%0-32.6%0-4+1.2%1 1-08.6%1-111.8%1-28.2%1-33.7%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.2%2-18.5%2-25.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.0%3-14.1%3-22.8%3-31.3%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.0%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.9% 46.7% 2.14 -12.5%

Draw 24.9% 29.0% 3.45 -8.5%

Away win 34.2% 33.3% 3.00 +2.6%

Over 2.5 53.4% 57.8% 1.73 -7.6%

Over 3.5 32.3% 36.4% 2.75 -11.2%

BTTS 59.5% 64.5% 1.55 -7.8%

Home O1.5 45.4% 51.3% 1.95 -11.5%

Away O1.5 43.7% 41.7% 2.40 +4.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob59.5%

H 41% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 0–0 6.0%

#5 1–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ujpest1.4

Debreceni VSC1.4

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.3%

Form & verdict PPG

UJPEST · PPG 1.36

DEBRECENI VSC · PPG 1.60

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ujpest (H) 40.9%

ODDS 2.14 · IMPLIED 46.7% EV -12.5%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -8.5%

Debreceni VSC (A) 34.2%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +2.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ujpest face Debreceni VSC in Hungary - NB I on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ujpest a 41% chance, the draw 25% and Debreceni VSC 34%, so Ujpest are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ujpest and 1.4 for Debreceni VSC (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ujpest are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.60 for Debreceni VSC. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +5.3%.

Ujpest vs Debreceni VSC Prediction— Hungary - NB I

Match Preview & Prediction

More Hungary - NB I Predictions