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Mezokovesd-zsory vs Ajka Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 17:00

Mezokovesd-zsory

PPG 1.56 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ajka

PPG 1.26 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.4%0-112.0%0-26.3%0-32.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.8%1-113.4%1-27.0%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-07.2%2-17.5%2-23.9%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.7%3-12.8%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.5% 52.6% 1.90 -23.1%

Draw 29.6% 31.3% 3.20 -3.2%

Away win 29.9% 27.8% 3.60 +4.6%

Over 2.5 45.7% 43.5% 2.30 +5.1%

Over 3.5 26.0% 24.7% 4.05 +3.2%

BTTS 49.2% 51.8% 1.93 -5.0%

Home O1.5 32.6% 44.1% 2.27 -26.0%

Away O1.5 36.2% 28.6% 3.50 +26.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.2%

H 40% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 12.8%

#4 0–1 12.0%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mezokovesd-zsory1.1

Ajka1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 26.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MEZOKOVESD-ZSORY · PPG 1.56

AJKA · PPG 1.26

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.08, combined xG 2.17 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Mezokovesd-zsory (H) 40.5%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -23.1%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.2%

Ajka (A) 29.9%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +4.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mezokovesd-zsory face Ajka in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mezokovesd-zsory a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Ajka 30%, so Mezokovesd-zsory are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Mezokovesd-zsory and 1.0 for Ajka (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mezokovesd-zsory are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.26 for Ajka. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +26.7%.

Mezokovesd-zsory vs Ajka Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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