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Szeged 2011 vs BVSC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 17:00

Szeged 2011 logo
Szeged 2011
PPG 1.35 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
BVSC logo
BVSC
PPG 1.35 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.8%0-113.8%0-26.0%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.3%1-113.4%1-25.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.4%2-16.5%2-22.8%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.4%3-12.1%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 39.2% 45.5% 2.20 -13.8%
Draw 32.0% 32.3% 3.10 -0.8%
Away win 28.9% 33.3% 3.00 -8.0%
Over 2.5 37.3% 42.0% 2.38 -11.2%
Over 3.5 18.6% 23.3% 4.30 -12.0%
BTTS 48.7% 52.1% 1.92 -6.5%
Home O1.5 32.6% 39.4% 2.54 -17.2%
Away O1.5 23.6% 31.7% 3.15 -15.4%

League track record

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%
O2.5 68%
BTTS 45%
Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.7%

H 39% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.8%
#2 1–1 13.4%
#3 1–0 15.3%
#4 0–1 13.8%
#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Szeged 20111.0
BVSC0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SZEGED 2011 · PPG 1.35

BVSC · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.10, combined xG 1.84 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Szeged 2011 (H) 39.2%
ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -13.8%
Draw 32.0%
ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -0.8%
BVSC (A) 28.9%
ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -8.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Szeged 2011 face BVSC in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Szeged 2011 a 39% chance, the draw 32% and BVSC 29%, so Szeged 2011 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Szeged 2011 and 0.9 for BVSC (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Szeged 2011 are averaging 1.35 points per game versus 1.35 for BVSC.

PredictVantage

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