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Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakecske FC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 17:00

Kecskeméti TE

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Tiszakecske FC

PPG 1.26 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.6% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6% — a clear edge.

+14.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-15.4%0-23.6%0-31.6%0-4+0.7%1 1-07.5%1-110.1%1-26.8%1-33.0%1-4+1.4%2 2-07.0%2-19.4%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.3%3 3-04.4%3-15.9%3-24.0%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-14.2%4+-22.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 58.8% 1.70 -15.5%

Draw 22.8% 28.6% 3.50 -12.1%

Away win 27.4% 24.4% 4.10 +7.4%

Over 2.5 63.6% 55.6% 1.80 +14.5%

Over 3.5 40.2% 35.6% 2.81 +13.0%

BTTS 62.1% 58.8% 1.70 +5.6%

Home O1.5 53.6% 56.8% 1.76 -5.7%

Away O1.5 43.7% 31.4% 3.18 +39.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob62.1%

H 50% / xG 1.9-1.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 2–0 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.8%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kecskeméti TE1.9

Tiszakecske FC1.3

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.6% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KECSKEMÉTI TE · PPG 2.00

TISZAKECSKE FC · PPG 1.26

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kecskeméti TE (H) 49.7%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV -15.5%

Draw 22.8%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -12.1%

Tiszakecske FC (A) 27.4%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kecskeméti TE face Tiszakecske FC in Hungary - NB II on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kecskeméti TE a 50% chance, the draw 23% and Tiszakecske FC 27%, so Kecskeméti TE are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Kecskeméti TE and 1.3 for Tiszakecske FC (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kecskeméti TE are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.26 for Tiszakecske FC. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +39.0%.

Kecskeméti TE vs Tiszakecske FC Prediction— Hungary - NB II

Match Preview & Prediction

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