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Savoia vs Igea Virtus Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I

Italy - Serie D - Girone I logo Italy flag Italy - Serie D - Girone I Group I - 32 Stadio Alfredo Giraud· Torre Annunziata Sunday, April 19, 2026 13:00
Savoia logo Savoia PPG 2.20
3-0 MISS
Igea Virtus logo Igea Virtus PPG 1.53
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Savoia face Igea Virtus in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Savoia a 57% chance, the draw 24% and Igea Virtus 19%, so Savoia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Savoia and 0.9 for Igea Virtus (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Savoia are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.53 for Igea Virtus. This match finished 3-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 57.4%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 23.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 18.8%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.2% Odds: —
Over 3.5 25.6% Odds: —
BTTS 47.2% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Savoia
1.70
Igea Virtus
0.86

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

League Track Record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 57%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.20) > Away GOOD (1.53)

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