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Bohemians 1905 vs Hradec Králové Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:30

Bohemians 1905

PPG 1.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hradec Králové

PPG 1.32 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-111.2%0-28.1%0-33.8%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.7%1-112.5%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.9%2-17.0%2-25.0%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.8%3-12.6%3-21.8%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.7% 39.4% 2.54 -19.5%

Draw 26.6% 29.9% 3.35 -6.5%

Away win 41.7% 39.7% 2.52 +5.1%

Over 2.5 51.6% 54.6% 1.83 -5.6%

Over 3.5 29.2% 32.3% 3.10 -5.7%

BTTS 55.3% 60.6% 1.65 -8.8%

Home O1.5 32.6% 43.5% 2.30 -25.0%

Away O1.5 43.7% 43.5% 2.30 +0.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 22%

ROI 13.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.3%

A 42% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.8%

#3 0–1 11.2%

#4 1–2 9.0%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bohemians 19051.1

Hradec Králové1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 29.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BOHEMIANS 1905 · PPG 1.25

HRADEC KRÁLOVÉ · PPG 1.32

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.32 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bohemians 1905 (H) 31.7%

ODDS 2.54 · IMPLIED 39.4% EV -19.5%

Draw 26.6%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.5%

Hradec Králové (A) 41.7%

ODDS 2.52 · IMPLIED 39.7% EV +5.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bohemians 1905 face Hradec Králové in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bohemians 1905 a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Hradec Králové 42%, so Hradec Králové are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Bohemians 1905 and 1.4 for Hradec Králové (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bohemians 1905 are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.32 for Hradec Králové. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +0.5%.

Bohemians 1905 vs Hradec Králové Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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