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Slovan Liberec vs Teplice Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00

Slovan Liberec

PPG 1.52 · HOME

UPCOMING

Teplice

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 56.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-17.8%0-24.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-010.5%1-112.0%1-26.9%1-32.6%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.1%2-19.3%2-25.3%2-32.0%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.2%3-14.8%3-22.7%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.3% 59.5% 1.68 -18.9%

Draw 24.5% 27.8% 3.60 -7.1%

Away win 27.2% 21.7% 4.60 +15.1%

Over 2.5 53.4% 54.1% 1.85 -1.2%

Over 3.5 32.2% 31.3% 3.20 +3.0%

BTTS 55.4% 56.5% 1.77 -1.9%

Home O1.5 45.4% 56.5% 1.77 -19.6%

Away O1.5 36.5% 28.2% 3.55 +29.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 3.0%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.4%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 10.5%

#4 0–0 6.8%

#5 2–0 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slovan Liberec1.5

Teplice1.1

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SLOVAN LIBEREC · PPG 1.52

TEPLICE · PPG 1.29

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.41 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Slovan Liberec (H) 48.3%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -18.9%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.1%

Teplice (A) 27.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +15.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slovan Liberec face Teplice in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slovan Liberec a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Teplice 27%, so Slovan Liberec are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Slovan Liberec and 1.1 for Teplice (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slovan Liberec are averaging 1.52 points per game versus 1.29 for Teplice. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +29.6%.

Slovan Liberec vs Teplice Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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