Pardubice vs Zlin Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Czech-Republic - Czech Liga Regular Season - 27 Stadion Arnosta Kostala· Pardubice Saturday, April 25, 2026 14:00

Pardubice PPG 1.21

3-1 MISS

Zlin PPG 1.07

Over3.5· +13.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Pardubice face Zlin in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pardubice a 50% chance, the draw 24% and Zlin 26%, so Pardubice are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Pardubice and 1.2 for Zlin (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pardubice are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.07 for Zlin. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +13.6%. This match finished 3-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 50.1%

Odds: 1.98 EV: -0.8%

Draw 24.0%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -22.0%

Away 26.0%

Odds: 3.60 EV: -6.4%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.3% Odds: 2.00 +8.6%

Over 3.5 32.0% Odds: 3.55 +13.6%

BTTS 56.0% Odds: 1.80 +0.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Pardubice

1.70

Zlin

1.16

Model SuggestionBTTS +0.8% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+13.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 53%

BTTS/No 35%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 8.0%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.07)