Today / Czech-Republic - Czech Liga / Baník Ostrava vs Slavia Praha

Baník Ostrava vs Slavia Praha Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Regular Season - 2 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00

Baník Ostrava

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Slavia Praha

PPG 1.86 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.4% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-111.2%0-29.1%0-34.9%0-4+2.9%1 1-07.3%1-111.8%1-29.5%1-35.2%1-4+3.0%2 2-03.8%2-16.2%2-25.0%2-32.7%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.3%3-12.2%3-21.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.8% 20.0% 5.00 +26.4%

Draw 25.6% 27.0% 3.70 -3.2%

Away win 45.6% 62.1% 1.61 -26.6%

Over 2.5 53.4% 57.1% 1.75 -6.6%

Over 3.5 32.2% 35.1% 2.85 -8.2%

BTTS 55.4% 58.8% 1.70 -5.8%

Home O1.5 32.6% 28.6% 3.50 +14.1%

Away O1.5 48.0% 59.9% 1.67 -19.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 17 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 24%

ROI 3.0%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob55.4%

A 46% / xG 1.1-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–1 11.2%

#4 0–2 9.1%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Baník Ostrava1.1

Slavia Praha1.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

BANÍK OSTRAVA · PPG 1.29

SLAVIA PRAHA · PPG 1.86

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.57 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Baník Ostrava (H) 28.8%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +26.4%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -3.2%

Slavia Praha (A) 45.6%

ODDS 1.61 · IMPLIED 62.1% EV -26.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Baník Ostrava face Slavia Praha in Czech-Republic - Czech Liga on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Baník Ostrava a 29% chance, the draw 26% and Slavia Praha 46%, so Slavia Praha are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Baník Ostrava and 1.6 for Slavia Praha (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Baník Ostrava are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.86 for Slavia Praha. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +24.0%.

Baník Ostrava vs Slavia Praha Prediction— Czech-Republic - Czech Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - Czech Liga Predictions