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ODD Ballklubb vs Asane Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Regular Season - 16 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 15:00

ODD Ballklubb

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Asane

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 66.4% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-12.5%0-21.1%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-08.0%1-16.8%1-22.8%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.7%2-19.0%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-09.5%3-18.0%3-23.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-011.9%4+-110.0%4+-24.2%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.4% 71.4% 1.40 -7.0%

Draw 17.2% 20.8% 4.80 -10.5%

Away win 16.4% 19.0% 5.25 -8.3%

Over 2.5 64.1% 75.2% 1.33 -14.8%

Over 3.5 42.8% 54.1% 1.85 -20.8%

BTTS 55.4% 69.0% 1.45 -19.7%

Home O1.5 64.0% 76.9% 1.30 -16.8%

Away O1.5 20.3% 37.7% 2.65 -27.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob55.4%

H 66% / xG 2.7-0.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.7%

#2 3–0 9.5%

#3 2–1 9.0%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 1–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ODD Ballklubb2.7

Asane0.8

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ODD BALLKLUBB · PPG 1.75

ASANE · PPG 0.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.82 for Home, form 1.75 vs 0.14 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

ODD Ballklubb (H) 66.4%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -7.0%

Draw 17.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV -10.5%

Asane (A) 16.4%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -8.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

ODD Ballklubb face Asane in Norway - 1st Division on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ODD Ballklubb a 66% chance, the draw 17% and Asane 16%, so ODD Ballklubb are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for ODD Ballklubb and 0.8 for Asane (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ODD Ballklubb are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.14 for Asane.

ODD Ballklubb vs Asane Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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