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Bryne vs Stromsgodset Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00

Bryne

PPG 1.57 · HOME

UPCOMING

Stromsgodset

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 70.3% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.5%0-23.8%0-32.8%0-4+2.5%1 1-03.2%1-16.9%1-27.5%1-35.4%1-4+4.8%2 2-03.1%2-16.7%2-27.3%2-35.2%2-4+4.7%3 3-02.0%3-14.4%3-24.7%3-33.4%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-13.3%4+-23.6%4+-32.6%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.3% 34.5% 2.90 +8.2%

Draw 21.7% 26.3% 3.80 -10.5%

Away win 41.0% 48.8% 2.05 -16.0%

Over 2.5 67.3% 70.4% 1.42 -4.4%

Over 3.5 47.8% 48.8% 2.05 -2.0%

BTTS 70.3% 72.5% 1.38 -3.0%

Home O1.5 53.6% 51.3% 1.95 +4.5%

Away O1.5 54.5% 60.6% 1.65 -10.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 78%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob70.3%

A 41% / xG 1.9-2.2 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.9%

#2 1–2 7.5%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 6.7%

#5 1–3 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bryne1.9

Stromsgodset2.2

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BRYNE · PPG 1.57

STROMSGODSET · PPG 1.29

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bryne (H) 37.3%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +8.2%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -10.5%

Stromsgodset (A) 41.0%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -16.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bryne face Stromsgodset in Norway - 1st Division on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bryne a 37% chance, the draw 22% and Stromsgodset 41%, so Stromsgodset are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bryne and 2.2 for Stromsgodset (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bryne are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 1.29 for Stromsgodset. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +24.5%.

Bryne vs Stromsgodset Prediction— Norway - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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