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Ragusa PPG 1.40 
Sancataldese PPG 0.53
Ragusa vs Sancataldese Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I
Ragusa PPG 1.400-0 HIT CS2
Sancataldese PPG 0.53 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Ragusa face Sancataldese in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ragusa a 52% chance, the draw 29% and Sancataldese 19%, so Ragusa are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Ragusa and 0.7 for Sancataldese (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ragusa are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.53 for Sancataldese. This match finished 0-0.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
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Goals Markets
Over 2.5 30.4% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 13.0% Odds: — —
BTTS 34.5% Odds: — —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✔
3rd 1-1 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 0-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Ragusa 1.28
Sancataldese 0.65
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 57%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs P(Home)=51.7%