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Gelbison PPG 1.40 
Acireale PPG 0.87
Gelbison vs Acireale Prediction— Italy - Serie D - Girone I
Gelbison PPG 1.402-1 HIT CS3
Acireale PPG 0.87 ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence
Match Preview & Prediction
Gelbison face Acireale in Italy - Serie D - Girone I on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gelbison a 68% chance, the draw 19% and Acireale 13%, so Gelbison are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Gelbison and 0.8 for Acireale (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gelbison are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.87 for Acireale. This match finished 2-1.
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 57.4% Odds: — —
Over 3.5 35.0% Odds: — —
BTTS 49.4% Odds: — —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 2-0 ✘
2nd 1-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✔
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Gelbison 2.17
Acireale 0.82
Model Suggestion
Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 28 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5/Under 61%
BTTS/No 50%
Score Hit 57%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.87)