Today / Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand / Forward vs Nyköping

Forward vs Nyköping Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 13:00

Forward

PPG 2.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nyköping

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-17.5%0-24.4%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.9%1-111.8%1-27.0%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.8%2-19.3%2-25.5%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-04.1%3-14.9%3-22.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-12.8%4+-21.6%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 48.8% 2.05 -4.7%

Draw 25.0% 29.4% 3.40 -9.0%

Away win 28.6% 35.7% 2.80 -11.9%

Over 2.5 61.2% 65.4% 1.53 -6.4%

Over 3.5 37.3% 41.7% 2.40 -10.5%

BTTS 60.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.9% — — —

Away O1.5 36.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -40.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob60.0%

H 46% / xG 1.6-1.2 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 9.9%

#4 0–0 6.3%

#5 2–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Forward1.6

Nyköping1.2

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

FORWARD · PPG 2.17

NYKÖPING · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.39 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Forward (H) 46.5%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -4.7%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -9.0%

Nyköping (A) 28.6%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -11.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Forward face Nyköping in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Forward a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Nyköping 29%, so Forward are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Forward and 1.2 for Nyköping (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Forward are averaging 2.17 points per game versus 1.83 for Nyköping.

Forward vs Nyköping Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

More Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Predictions