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Fittja vs Haninge Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 12:00

Fittja

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Haninge

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 74.5% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.6%0-21.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.9%1 1-02.3%1-14.6%1-24.6%1-33.1%1-4+2.5%2 2-03.2%2-16.4%2-26.4%2-34.3%2-4+3.4%3 3-03.0%3-16.0%3-26.0%3-34.0%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-04.2%4+-18.4%4+-28.4%4+-35.6%4+-4+4.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.1% 30.3% 3.30 +71.9%

Draw 21.0% 26.7% 3.75 -12.8%

Away win 26.9% 56.8% 1.76 -31.6%

Over 2.5 74.5% 78.1% 1.28 -4.6%

Over 3.5 54.0% 56.5% 1.77 -4.4%

BTTS 70.3% — — —

Home O1.5 67.3% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -40.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob70.3%

H 52% / xG 2.8-2.0 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.4%

#2 2–1 6.4%

#3 3–2 6.0%

#4 3–1 6.0%

#5 1–1 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fittja2.8

Haninge2.0

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.0%

Form & verdict PPG

FITTJA · PPG 2.29

HANINGE · PPG 1.71

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.80 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Fittja (H) 52.1%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +71.9%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -12.8%

Haninge (A) 26.9%

ODDS 1.76 · IMPLIED 56.8% EV -31.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fittja face Haninge in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fittja a 52% chance, the draw 21% and Haninge 27%, so Fittja are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Fittja and 2.0 for Haninge (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fittja are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.71 for Haninge.

Fittja vs Haninge Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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