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Syrianska FC vs Eker Örebro Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 15:00

Syrianska FC logo
Syrianska FC
PPG 1.14 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Eker Örebro logo
Eker Örebro
PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-12.3%0-21.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-04.3%1-16.2%1-24.5%1-32.1%1-4+1.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.4%2-26.0%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-05.2%3-17.5%3-25.4%3-32.6%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-06.7%4+-19.7%4+-27.0%4+-33.4%4+-4+1.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 56.1%
Draw 21.7%
Away win 22.1%
Over 2.5 67.0%
Over 3.5 47.4%
BTTS 63.5%
Home O1.5 64.0%
Away O1.5 44.4%

League track record

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%
O2.5 61%
BTTS 57%
Score Hit 29%
ROI -29.0%
Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.5%

H 56% / xG 2.7-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.4%
#2 3–1 7.5%
#3 1–1 6.2%
#4 2–2 6.0%
#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Syrianska FC2.7
Eker Örebro1.4

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SYRIANSKA FC · PPG 1.14

EKER ÖREBRO · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Syrianska FC (H) 56.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Eker Örebro (A) 22.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Syrianska FC face Eker Örebro in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Syrianska FC a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Eker Örebro 22%, so Syrianska FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Syrianska FC and 1.4 for Eker Örebro (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Syrianska FC are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 0.57 for Eker Örebro.

PredictVantage

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