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Nacka Iliria vs Lindo FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 10:00

Nacka Iliria

PPG 0.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lindo FF

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-19.5%0-27.0%0-33.5%0-4+1.8%1 1-08.1%1-112.0%1-28.9%1-34.4%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.1%2-17.6%2-25.6%2-32.8%2-4+1.4%3 3-02.2%3-13.2%3-22.4%3-31.2%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.3%4+-21.0%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.4% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 41.0% — — —

Over 2.5 53.4% — — —

Over 3.5 32.5% — — —

BTTS 57.8% — — —

Home O1.5 35.7% — — —

Away O1.5 47.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -29.0%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob57.8%

A 41% / xG 1.3-1.5 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 0–0 6.4%

#4 0–1 9.5%

#5 2–1 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nacka Iliria1.3

Lindo FF1.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NACKA ILIRIA · PPG 0.86

LINDO FF · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.22 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Nacka Iliria (H) 34.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lindo FF (A) 41.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nacka Iliria face Lindo FF in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nacka Iliria a 34% chance, the draw 25% and Lindo FF 41%, so Lindo FF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Nacka Iliria and 1.5 for Lindo FF (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nacka Iliria are averaging 0.86 points per game versus 1.00 for Lindo FF.

Nacka Iliria vs Lindo FF Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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