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IF Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby FF Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 12:00

IF Brommapojkarna

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hammarby FF

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 57.4% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-19.4%0-27.8%0-34.3%0-4+2.6%1 1-06.9%1-111.4%1-29.4%1-35.2%1-4+3.1%2 2-04.2%2-16.9%2-25.7%2-33.2%2-4+1.9%3 3-01.7%3-12.8%3-22.3%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% 14.7% 6.80 +119.0%

Draw 24.9% 21.7% 4.60 +8.7%

Away win 42.9% 71.4% 1.40 -39.9%

Over 2.5 57.4% 66.7% 1.50 -13.9%

Over 3.5 35.0% 44.4% 2.25 -21.3%

BTTS 55.7% 61.7% 1.62 -9.8%

Home O1.5 36.8% 28.6% 3.50 +28.8%

Away O1.5 49.0% 71.4% 1.40 -31.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 11.2%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob55.7%

A 43% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–2 7.8%

#4 0–1 9.4%

#5 0–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IF Brommapojkarna1.2

Hammarby FF1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.4% · O3.5 PROB 35.0%

Form & verdict PPG

IF BROMMAPOJKARNA · PPG 1.00

HAMMARBY FF · PPG 1.17

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.44 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

IF Brommapojkarna (H) 32.2%

ODDS 6.80 · IMPLIED 14.7% EV +119.0%

Draw 24.9%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +8.7%

Hammarby FF (A) 42.9%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -39.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

IF Brommapojkarna face Hammarby FF in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IF Brommapojkarna a 32% chance, the draw 25% and Hammarby FF 43%, so Hammarby FF are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for IF Brommapojkarna and 1.7 for Hammarby FF (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IF Brommapojkarna are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Hammarby FF. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +75.6%.

IF Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby FF Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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