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Gais vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 14:30

Gais

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Halmstad

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 69.0% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-13.6%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-015.3%1-17.7%1-21.9%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.3%2-18.2%2-22.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-011.6%3-15.8%3-21.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-010.1%4+-15.1%4+-21.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.0% 75.2% 1.33 -8.2%

Draw 21.2% 20.8% 4.80 +1.1%

Away win 9.8% 10.5% 9.50 -4.1%

Over 2.5 53.9% 61.7% 1.62 -12.7%

Over 3.5 32.8% 39.2% 2.55 -16.4%

BTTS 48.2% 54.1% 1.85 -10.8%

Home O1.5 61.8% 71.4% 1.40 -13.5%

Away O1.5 19.1% 21.1% 4.75 -5.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 40%

ROI 11.2%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob48.2%

H 69% / xG 2.1-0.5 / O2.5 54% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 16.3%

#2 1–0 15.3%

#3 3–0 11.6%

#4 1–1 7.7%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gais2.1

Halmstad0.5

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.8%

Form & verdict PPG

GAIS · PPG 2.00

HALMSTAD · PPG 0.17

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.63 for Home, form 2.00 vs 0.17 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Gais (H) 69.0%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -8.2%

Draw 21.2%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +1.1%

Halmstad (A) 9.8%

ODDS 9.50 · IMPLIED 10.5% EV -4.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gais face Halmstad in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gais a 69% chance, the draw 21% and Halmstad 10%, so Gais are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Gais and 0.5 for Halmstad (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gais are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.17 for Halmstad. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +4.0%.

Gais vs Halmstad Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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