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BK Hacken vs Kalmar FF Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Regular Season - 15 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00

BK Hacken

PPG 1.71 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kalmar FF

PPG 0.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.0% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.0%0-22.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.6%1-18.8%1-25.1%1-32.0%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.3%2-19.7%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.1%3-17.2%3-24.2%3-31.6%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-16.6%4+-23.9%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% 56.5% 1.77 -5.0%

Draw 22.3% 25.3% 3.95 -7.1%

Away win 24.0% 25.3% 3.95 -3.1%

Over 2.5 64.0% 64.5% 1.55 -0.8%

Over 3.5 42.8% 41.7% 2.40 +2.7%

BTTS 62.1% 66.7% 1.50 -6.9%

Home O1.5 60.1% 61.7% 1.62 -2.6%

Away O1.5 36.5% 39.2% 2.55 -6.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -7.7%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob62.1%

H 54% / xG 2.2-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 3–1 7.2%

#5 1–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BK Hacken2.2

Kalmar FF1.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

BK HACKEN · PPG 1.71

KALMAR FF · PPG 0.00

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.04 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

BK Hacken (H) 53.7%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -5.0%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -7.1%

Kalmar FF (A) 24.0%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -3.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

BK Hacken face Kalmar FF in Sweden - Allsvenskan on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BK Hacken a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Kalmar FF 24%, so BK Hacken are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for BK Hacken and 1.2 for Kalmar FF (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BK Hacken are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 0.00 for Kalmar FF. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +10.1%.

BK Hacken vs Kalmar FF Prediction— Sweden - Allsvenskan

Match Preview & Prediction

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