Today / South Korea - K League 1 / FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC

FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 10:30

FC Anyang

PPG 0.89 · HOME

UPCOMING

Gangwon FC

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.4%0-116.3%0-210.7%0-34.7%0-4+2.1%1 1-09.6%1-112.6%1-28.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.6%2 2-03.7%2-14.9%2-23.2%2-31.4%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.0%3-11.3%3-20.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.8% 25.0% 4.00 -0.5%

Draw 27.9% 31.3% 3.20 -6.4%

Away win 47.3% 51.3% 1.95 -7.8%

Over 2.5 46.8% 42.6% 2.35 +10.0%

Over 3.5 26.4% 22.2% 4.50 +11.3%

BTTS 48.5% 50.0% 2.00 -3.0%

Home O1.5 33.3% 25.3% 3.95 +31.5%

Away O1.5 41.4% 44.4% 2.25 -6.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 38%

Score Hit 62%

ROI -29.6%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob48.5%

A 47% / xG 0.8-1.3 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 16.3%

#3 0–0 12.4%

#4 0–2 10.7%

#5 1–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Anyang0.8

Gangwon FC1.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.8% · O3.5 PROB 26.4%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ANYANG · PPG 0.89

GANGWON FC · PPG 1.60

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.54 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

FC Anyang (H) 24.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -0.5%

Draw 27.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -6.4%

Gangwon FC (A) 47.3%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -7.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Anyang face Gangwon FC in South Korea - K League 1 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Anyang a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Gangwon FC 47%, so Gangwon FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for FC Anyang and 1.3 for Gangwon FC (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Anyang are averaging 0.89 points per game versus 1.60 for Gangwon FC. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +31.5%.

FC Anyang vs Gangwon FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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