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Trujillanos FC vs UCV Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura - 1 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 21:00

Trujillanos FC

PPG 0.43 · HOME

UPCOMING

UCV

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-19.7%0-29.6%0-36.4%0-4+5.0%1 1-05.0%1-110.0%1-210.0%1-36.6%1-4+5.2%2 2-02.6%2-15.2%2-25.1%2-33.4%2-4+2.7%3 3-00.9%3-11.8%3-21.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.9% — — —

Draw 22.1% — — —

Away win 55.1% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.3% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 50.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 34.0%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 53%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob55.4%

A 55% / xG 1.0-2.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.0%

#2 1–2 10.0%

#3 0–2 9.6%

#4 0–1 9.7%

#5 1–3 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trujillanos FC1.0

UCV2.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TRUJILLANOS FC · PPG 0.43

UCV · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.96 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Trujillanos FC (H) 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

UCV (A) 55.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trujillanos FC face UCV in Venezuela - Primera División on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trujillanos FC a 23% chance, the draw 22% and UCV 55%, so UCV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Trujillanos FC and 2.0 for UCV (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trujillanos FC are averaging 0.43 points per game versus 1.40 for UCV.

Trujillanos FC vs UCV Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

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