Today / Venezuela - Primera División / Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo Tachira FC

Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo Tachira FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Clausura - 1 ·Friday, July 31, 2026, 22:30

Academia Anzoátegui

PPG 0.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Deportivo Tachira FC

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.65 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-113.3%0-210.4%0-35.4%0-4+3.0%1 1-07.7%1-112.0%1-29.3%1-34.8%1-4+2.7%2 2-03.5%2-15.4%2-24.2%2-32.2%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.0%3-11.6%3-21.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.3% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 46.3% — — —

Over 2.5 50.4% — — —

Over 3.5 28.9% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 77%

BTTS 39%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 34.0%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob52.6%

A 46% / xG 0.9-1.6 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 0–1 13.3%

#3 0–0 8.6%

#4 0–2 10.4%

#5 1–2 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Academia Anzoátegui0.9

Deportivo Tachira FC1.6

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ACADEMIA ANZOÁTEGUI · PPG 0.33

DEPORTIVO TACHIRA FC · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.65 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Academia Anzoátegui (H) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Deportivo Tachira FC (A) 46.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Academia Anzoátegui face Deportivo Tachira FC in Venezuela - Primera División on Friday, July 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Academia Anzoátegui a 26% chance, the draw 27% and Deportivo Tachira FC 46%, so Deportivo Tachira FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Academia Anzoátegui and 1.6 for Deportivo Tachira FC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Academia Anzoátegui are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Deportivo Tachira FC.

Academia Anzoátegui vs Deportivo Tachira FC Prediction— Venezuela - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Venezuela - Primera División Predictions