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Charleston Battery vs Brooklyn Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 23:30

Charleston Battery

PPG 2.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Brooklyn

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 77.1% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.9% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.8%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-05.4%1-15.4%1-22.7%1-30.9%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.2%2-18.1%2-24.1%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.3%3-18.2%3-24.1%3-31.4%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-013.3%4+-113.3%4+-26.6%4+-32.2%4+-4+0.7%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.7% 73.5% 1.36 -12.0%

Draw 16.8% 21.7% 4.60 -13.6%

Away win 18.5% 15.6% 6.40 +11.0%

Over 2.5 67.0% 69.0% 1.45 -2.9%

Over 3.5 47.4% 46.5% 2.15 +1.9%

BTTS 62.1% 61.7% 1.62 +0.6%

Home O1.5 77.1% 73.5% 1.36 +4.9%

Away O1.5 29.4% 29.9% 3.35 -0.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 88 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 75%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob62.1%

H 65% / xG 3.0-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.3%

#2 3–1 8.2%

#3 2–0 8.2%

#4 2–1 8.1%

#5 4–0 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Charleston Battery3.0

Brooklyn1.0

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CHARLESTON BATTERY · PPG 2.50

BROOKLYN · PPG 0.75

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +2.04 for Home, form 2.50 vs 0.75 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Charleston Battery (H) 64.7%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -12.0%

Draw 16.8%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -13.6%

Brooklyn (A) 18.5%

ODDS 6.40 · IMPLIED 15.6% EV +11.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Charleston Battery face Brooklyn in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Charleston Battery a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Brooklyn 19%, so Charleston Battery are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for Charleston Battery and 1.0 for Brooklyn (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Charleston Battery are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.75 for Brooklyn. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +13.5%.

Charleston Battery vs Brooklyn Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

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