Today / USA - USL Championship / San Antonio vs Indy Eleven

San Antonio vs Indy Eleven Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Group Stage ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 01:00

San Antonio

PPG 1.88 · HOME

UPCOMING

Indy Eleven

PPG 0.29 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-18.6%0-23.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.8%1-112.2%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.2%2-18.7%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.3%3-14.1%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.0%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.7% 52.4% 1.91 -5.1%

Draw 26.8% 29.9% 3.35 -6.1%

Away win 23.5% 28.2% 3.55 -10.0%

Over 2.5 45.7% 54.1% 1.85 -15.4%

Over 3.5 27.4% 31.3% 3.20 -7.4%

BTTS 49.1% 58.8% 1.70 -16.5%

Home O1.5 45.4% 51.8% 1.93 -12.4%

Away O1.5 20.3% 34.5% 2.90 -24.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 88 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 47%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -10.7%

Bet Hit 52%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob49.1%

H 50% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 15.8%

#3 0–0 11.0%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 2–1 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

San Antonio1.4

Indy Eleven0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.7% · O3.5 PROB 27.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SAN ANTONIO · PPG 1.88

INDY ELEVEN · PPG 0.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.65 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

San Antonio (H) 49.7%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -5.1%

Draw 26.8%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.1%

Indy Eleven (A) 23.5%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -10.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

San Antonio face Indy Eleven in USA - USL Championship on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives San Antonio a 50% chance, the draw 27% and Indy Eleven 24%, so San Antonio are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for San Antonio and 0.8 for Indy Eleven (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, San Antonio are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.29 for Indy Eleven.

San Antonio vs Indy Eleven Prediction— USA - USL Championship

Match Preview & Prediction

More USA - USL Championship Predictions