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Argentinos JRS vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Clausura - 2 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 00:15

Argentinos JRS

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto

PPG 0.12 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 68.0% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-13.3%0-20.5%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.7%1-16.2%1-20.9%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-020.2%2-15.8%2-20.8%2-30.1%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.6%3-13.6%3-20.5%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-08.9%4+-12.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.0% 71.4% 1.40 -4.8%

Draw 23.0% 26.0% 3.85 -6.9%

Away win 9.0% 9.5% 10.50 -3.3%

Over 2.5 44.0% 41.7% 2.40 +5.6%

Over 3.5 22.8% 21.1% 4.75 +5.0%

BTTS 37.2% 36.4% 2.75 +2.3%

Home O1.5 53.6% 56.5% 1.77 -5.1%

Away O1.5 11.1% 10.0% 10.00 +6.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 32%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -22.4%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.3 BTTS prob37.2%

H 68% / xG 1.9-0.3 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 21.7%

#2 2–0 20.2%

#3 0–0 11.7%

#4 3–0 12.6%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Argentinos JRS1.9

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto0.3

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.0% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

ARGENTINOS JRS · PPG 2.33

ESTUDIANTES DE RIO CUARTO · PPG 0.12

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.58 for Home, form 2.33 vs 0.12 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Argentinos JRS (H) 68.0%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -4.8%

Draw 23.0%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -6.9%

Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (A) 9.0%

ODDS 10.50 · IMPLIED 9.5% EV -3.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Argentinos JRS face Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto in Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Argentinos JRS a 68% chance, the draw 23% and Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 9%, so Argentinos JRS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Argentinos JRS and 0.3 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Argentinos JRS are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.12 for Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +36.6%.

Argentinos JRS vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Prediction— Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina

Match Preview & Prediction

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